Catalyst calendar · next 60 days
Dated events that could move the board, each with its source. Snapshot 26 Oct 06:32 IDT.
| DATE | IN | CATALYST | FLASHPOINT | SOURCE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 0d | Egypt parliament votes on military support for Saudi Arabia | Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb | english.ahram.org.eg ↗ |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1d | Israeli legislative election | Israel–Hezbollah & the 27 Oct Israeli election | today.lorientlejour.com ↗ |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1d | Iran's President Pezeshkian at the Gas Exporting Countries Forum summit in Moscow; meeting with Putin expected | US/Israel–Iran | iranintl.com ↗ |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1d | Localized Russia–Ukraine ceasefire in Oleshky begins | Russia–Ukraine | apnews.com ↗ |
| 31 Oct 2026 | 5d | Polymarket resolution: US–Iran and Israel–Iran ceasefire 'through Oct 31' | US/Israel–Iran | polymarket.com ↗ |
| 1 Nov 2026 | 6d | OPEC+ (7 countries) monthly meeting on December output | US/Israel–Iran | opec.org ↗ |
| 3 Nov 2026 | 8d | US midterm elections | US/Israel–Iran | channelnewsasia.com ↗ |
| 10 Nov 2026 | 15d | Earliest date the Kremlin says it would resume trilateral talks | Russia–Ukraine | cnn.com ↗ |
| 11 Nov 2026 | 16d | OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report | US/Israel–Iran | readgeo.net ↗ |
| 13 Nov 2026 | 18d | IEA Oil Market Report | US/Israel–Iran | readgeo.net ↗ |
| 15 Nov 2026 | 20d | flydubai Tel Aviv suspension runs through at least this date | US/Israel–Iran | jns.org ↗ |
| 18 Nov 2026 | 23d | APEC Leaders' Meeting, Shenzhen (Nov 18–19); Trump–Putin–Xi summit being prepared | Taiwan Strait & AI-chip controls | english.www.gov.cn ↗ |
| 28 Nov 2026 | 33d | Taiwan local (nine-in-one) elections | Taiwan Strait & AI-chip controls | taipeitimes.com ↗ |
| 29 Nov 2026 | 34d | 42nd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting (2027 policy) | US/Israel–Iran | opec.org ↗ |
| 30 Nov 2026 | 35d | Comment deadline: US Munitions List review (DDTC) | Taiwan Strait & AI-chip controls | primetmsglobal.com ↗ |
| 11 Dec 2026 | 46d | UN 1591 Sudan sanctions expire unless renewed; IEA OMR | Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb | primetmsglobal.com ↗ |
| 14 Dec 2026 | 49d | OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report | US/Israel–Iran | readgeo.net ↗ |
| 31 Dec 2026 | 66d | Polymarket resolution: ceasefire, Hormuz-normal and Bab el-Mandeb markets 'by Dec 31' | Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb | polymarket.com ↗ |
| 31 Dec 2026 | 66d | UNIFIL mandate ends; US opposes renewal | Israel–Hezbollah & the 27 Oct Israeli election | cissecurity.net ↗ |